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Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: sarahunwin ()
Date: August 28, 2019 08:13

Quote
bv
I would not worry at all. The show is on until it is off. Why worry? We will know more in two days. The chance of two out of seventeen shows on a tour being bothered by hurricanes is slim if you run it through a computer, even if they are in a hurricane season. Meanwhile, just relax and we will be fine.

Hear hear!!!!

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: IGTBA ()
Date: August 28, 2019 08:18

If it stays on the latest projected course, winds near the concert will not be bad and rain might not be bad, even if it becomes a weak hurricane. However, as others have said, it's too early to assume it's course/strength won't be a major problem in the Fort Lauderdale/Miami area.
Let's hope it's course keeps veering to the north; if so it won't be an issue at all regarding the concert; and maybe not for air travel either. But those planning on flying out Sunday, should be prepared for flight cancellations.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2019-08-28 08:19 by IGTBA.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: powerage78 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 11:59

In a stadium with a capacity of more 70.000 ?

Quote
GasLightStreet
Quote
powerage78
And a postponed show means less spectators in the end : "only" 35,000 in New Orleans.

The stage set up allowed "only" 35000. That's to do with ticket sales, not a "hurricane".

***
I'm just a Bad Boy Boogie

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 12:41

waking up to quite a different track.

Getting much stronger and will now be a hurricane when it hits Florida.
But also looks to be moving north, farther away from Miami.
We shall see.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 12:46

Also a different timelime. Now says it wont make landfall til early Monday morning.

So maybe we're still on for Saturday night.


Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: two4fun111 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 13:45

Looking worse. Especially for people flying in Saturday.

#ILM #ncwx

Twitter

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 14:23

I disagree. This thing is now looking like it won't make Florida landfall until Monday morning.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Elmo Lewis ()
Date: August 28, 2019 14:33

Actually, looking much better than it was - as far as timing/area goes.

More like Daytona area Monday morning.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: JDSAM1994 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 14:40


Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 14:50

The live webcam shows them still assembling the stage as we speak:

https://www.weatherbug.com/weather-camera/?cam=PROPL

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: glmmr_twn ()
Date: August 28, 2019 15:20

Asked my friend who lives in Miami if she's worried about Dorian and she told me not in the least. I'm hopeful. It's only rock and roll.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Date: August 28, 2019 15:31

Quote
rlj1010
Also a different timelime. Now says it wont make landfall til early Monday morning.

So maybe we're still on for Saturday night.




We are assuming that it will hit right at the middle of the cone. Heard on the weather channel this morning that is only correct 75% of the time and there is a 200 mile margin of error.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Date: August 28, 2019 15:38

For what its worth, Virgin Atlantic have just announced they are offering refunds or free changes for passengers who have booked 31AUG-01SEP to fly in to Orlando. No mention of Miami, which must be a good indication that the storm is indeed heading further North.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: keefmick ()
Date: August 28, 2019 15:48

American Airlines is not even currently including Miami in its travel advisory due to weather and Miami is a huge hub for American.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: two4fun111 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 15:50

Quote
keefmick
American Airlines is not even currently including Miami in its travel advisory due to weather and Miami is a huge hub for American.

I concur...i called this morning and they have no travel advisories for FL yet....told me i'd be alerted via email if it changed.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: JDSAM1994 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 15:51

I think everything will end up being fine. They will sneak the show in and it will be a great night. The difference between this one and NOLA is that the show was rescheduled to allow the storm to pass. They will probably have a nice window to get this Miami show in before the hurricane.

Take everything on here with a grain of salt unless BV says it. If I had listened to some people on here for the NOLA situation, I would have missed the show.

See everyone in Miami on Saturday!!

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: 5stringTele ()
Date: August 28, 2019 15:58

The two most reliable models -- American and European -- diverge wildly, causing the unusually large cone. The American model takes Dorian along the northern edge of the cone, then curving up to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Unfortunately, the historically more reliable European model hugs the southern edge of the cone and targets northern Palm Beach.

Keep in mind the farther south Dorian makes landfall, the sooner it will hit.

While South Florida can find this encouraging, again, we're not out of the woods yet.

Many, many people down here have friends and relatives living up along Florida's East Coast, so people who say in Miami, nobody's worried is incorrect.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: bitusa2012 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:13

I just read on SHF that Show is delayed a day?

Rod

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Chris Fountain ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:17

If Daytona is the target then S. Florida may be spared. But Daytona i.e. Jaxville to the North is densely populated. Not Good anyway ya look at it.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: keefmick ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:20

What is SHF?

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: two4fun111 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:21

Quote
JDSAM1994
I think everything will end up being fine. They will sneak the show in and it will be a great night. The difference between this one and NOLA is that the show was rescheduled to allow the storm to pass. They will probably have a nice window to get this Miami show in before the hurricane.

Take everything on here with a grain of salt unless BV says it. If I had listened to some people on here for the NOLA situation, I would have missed the show.

See everyone in Miami on Saturday!!

another major difference is NOLA has a domed stadium

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Chris Fountain ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:29

Quote
two4fun111
Quote
JDSAM1994
I think everything will end up being fine. They will sneak the show in and it will be a great night. The difference between this one and NOLA is that the show was rescheduled to allow the storm to pass. They will probably have a nice window to get this Miami show in before the hurricane.

Take everything on here with a grain of salt unless BV says it. If I had listened to some people on here for the NOLA situation, I would have missed the show.

See everyone in Miami on Saturday!!

another major difference is NOLA has a domed stadium

The bleachers -up- are sheltered. But those tickets are reserved for Dylan fans who have listened to "Shelter from the Storm" at least a hundred times via Hard Rain spinning smiley sticking its tongue out

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Maindefender ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:37

Everyone in town remembers
The last hurricane
Everyone in town hopes
It won't happen again

Oh, how it shrieks
Days turn into weeks
Cause nobody knew
Which way the wind blows

But, oh, how it shrieks
Days turn into weeks
Cause nobody knows
Which way the wind blows

Everyone in town remembers
The last hurricane
Everyone in town hopes
It doesn't happen again

Cause, oh how it shrieks
Days turn into weeks

And nobody knew
No one in town knew
Which way the wind blew

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:56

Is "Dorian" a man's name or a woman's?

Maybe it's a good time to play "Dancing With Mr. D"

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Date: August 28, 2019 16:59

Quote
rlj1010
Also a different timelime. Now says it wont make landfall til early Monday morning.

So maybe we're still on for Saturday night.



At what time will this map update?

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Chris Fountain ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:59

Quote
rlj1010
Is "Dorian" a man's name or a woman's?

Maybe it's a good time to play "Dancing With Mr. D"


Doesn't resolve the issue - it could be Miss or Mrs. D. smiling smiley

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: steffialicia ()
Date: August 28, 2019 16:59

Quote
rlj1010
Is "Dorian" a man's name or a woman's?

Maybe it's a good time to play "Dancing With Mr. D"

a man's name. good idea.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 17:05

Quote
jumpontopofmebaby
At what time will this map update?


The map automatically updates every 3 hours, at the following times.

5am, 8am, 11am, 2pm, 5pm, 8pm, 11pm, 2am...

repeat.

(Edit: That's Eastern Standard Time.)



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 2019-08-28 17:07 by rlj1010.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: Chris Fountain ()
Date: August 28, 2019 17:05

Quote
steffialicia
Quote
rlj1010
Is "Dorian" a man's name or a woman's?

Maybe it's a good time to play "Dancing With Mr. D"

a man's name. good idea.

2019 Hurricane Names


Hurricanes are named alphabetically from a predetermined list beginning the letter “A” through “W”, excluding names that begin with “Q” or “U.”
A storm is first named by the National Hurricane Center when the system becomes a tropical storm and the name remains as it develops into a hurricane or until it dissipates.

The most devastating hurricane names are retired and another name replaces it.
2019 Atlantic Tropical Storm / Hurricane Names:

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dorian
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Imelda
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy


Dorian is a dude.

Re: Tropical storm Dorian warnings for Miami Florida this week-end
Posted by: rlj1010 ()
Date: August 28, 2019 17:11



They're getting there.

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