1 of the biggest lightning storms i've seen in seattle last night. over 200 strikes in seattle alone. the university of washington football gamed was stopped about 8 PM & didn't restart until 1030. ended at 130 AM!
In case you don't know, that amount of lightning (1250 or so total) is astoundingly rare for that part of the world.
Consider that lightning was happening within 300 miles of the north pole this summer, the gargantuan rainfall in the Mississippi/Missouri/Ohio river basin, Miami flooding often and Alaska being as warm as Louisiana (basically), Greenland is turning green and the Amazon is on fire, which has HUGE consequences for the atmosphere - how could anyone NOT think something has been changing? It's not just this year that a lot of unusual amounts of things has happened. Although Hurricane Harvey a couple years ago raised a loud yell, Harvey did what hurricanes do when they get to a place where there are no steering currents - it sat. It's happened before, just not over an area like that with that much rain.
I excluded Dorian because historically storms blow up to category 5 status often (the confusion, for some inane reason, in the US is landfalling category 5s vs at sea category 5s) and, well, as usual, the MDR is very warm.
I could not understand why the NHC wasn't clear about Dorian turning into a 5. That blows my mind. Something needs to change with that. People often say this mythical bullshit "if they overhype it no one will believe them".
How could they overhype a hurricane entering water temps in the upper 80s to stay a minimal hurricane? I knew from before it was a hurricane it was going to turn into a 5 - I thought right before Dorian would hit Florida. I was a little off, by about 70 miles or so. Early models brought it here to Louisiana and I was giggling at the aspect of replacing all of my windows and replacing my plaster walls with insulation and sheet rock (currently no insulation with the walls).
The Bahamian people are used to hurricanes... but Dorian was unprecedented. It's difficult to fathom how - and why - they would rebuild considering
1. it could very well happen again in about 10 days or so
2. it will happen again
I live close to the coast. My house (didn't live in it at the time) did not flood for Katrina but water came in the yard. The entire area I live in would be underwater by 25 feet or so for miles from a category 5 hitting from the S/SE. It's got me thinking of selling and moving up hill a bit (where it flooded a couple years back from rain so bad the area turned into a 20 foot deep lake - at about 20 some feet above sea level).
What's more likely to happen? Flooding rains to blast rivers into oceans or a monster hurricane to blow and flood me away?
Louisiana and Florida are in a very very bad position for the future with hurricanes. I've got some serious thinking to do. I love where I live, it's part of the deal with living here, but I'm not convinced I need to risk having what I have to live so close to the coast.