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Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: mtaylor ()
Date: September 8, 2019 15:39

Quote
GasLightStreet
Quote
Hairball
Wow...Dorian...


Hurricane Ike reached 4 sides of the GOM and had a storm tide all the way around the Gulf Coast and Bay Of Campeche.

So far Dorian is just another hurricane with 105 mph winds.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Dorian become a 5 between the Bahamas and Florida.

And category 6 in Alabama


Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: GasLightStreet ()
Date: September 8, 2019 19:24

Spaghetti models are not forecasts. There were a bunch of models that brought Dorian to the Gulf Coast before Dorian was much of anything.

The cone in a forecast is a possibility of where it could go at the moment, which never included Alabama.

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Koen ()
Date: September 8, 2019 21:34

Alabama sounds a lot like Bahama. smoking smiley

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: crholmstrom ()
Date: September 8, 2019 22:13

1 of the biggest lightning storms i've seen in seattle last night. over 200 strikes in seattle alone. the university of washington football gamed was stopped about 8 PM & didn't restart until 1030. ended at 130 AM!

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: mtaylor ()
Date: September 8, 2019 22:54

Quote
Koen
Alabama sounds a lot like Bahama. smoking smiley

Obama... whatever comes to his mind and it becomes reality smileys with beer

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: GasLightStreet ()
Date: September 8, 2019 23:14

Quote
crholmstrom
1 of the biggest lightning storms i've seen in seattle last night. over 200 strikes in seattle alone. the university of washington football gamed was stopped about 8 PM & didn't restart until 1030. ended at 130 AM!

In case you don't know, that amount of lightning (1250 or so total) is astoundingly rare for that part of the world.

Consider that lightning was happening within 300 miles of the north pole this summer, the gargantuan rainfall in the Mississippi/Missouri/Ohio river basin, Miami flooding often and Alaska being as warm as Louisiana (basically), Greenland is turning green and the Amazon is on fire, which has HUGE consequences for the atmosphere - how could anyone NOT think something has been changing? It's not just this year that a lot of unusual amounts of things has happened. Although Hurricane Harvey a couple years ago raised a loud yell, Harvey did what hurricanes do when they get to a place where there are no steering currents - it sat. It's happened before, just not over an area like that with that much rain.

I excluded Dorian because historically storms blow up to category 5 status often (the confusion, for some inane reason, in the US is landfalling category 5s vs at sea category 5s) and, well, as usual, the MDR is very warm.

I could not understand why the NHC wasn't clear about Dorian turning into a 5. That blows my mind. Something needs to change with that. People often say this mythical bullshit "if they overhype it no one will believe them".

How could they overhype a hurricane entering water temps in the upper 80s to stay a minimal hurricane? I knew from before it was a hurricane it was going to turn into a 5 - I thought right before Dorian would hit Florida. I was a little off, by about 70 miles or so. Early models brought it here to Louisiana and I was giggling at the aspect of replacing all of my windows and replacing my plaster walls with insulation and sheet rock (currently no insulation with the walls).

The Bahamian people are used to hurricanes... but Dorian was unprecedented. It's difficult to fathom how - and why - they would rebuild considering

1. it could very well happen again in about 10 days or so
2. it will happen again

I live close to the coast. My house (didn't live in it at the time) did not flood for Katrina but water came in the yard. The entire area I live in would be underwater by 25 feet or so for miles from a category 5 hitting from the S/SE. It's got me thinking of selling and moving up hill a bit (where it flooded a couple years back from rain so bad the area turned into a 20 foot deep lake - at about 20 some feet above sea level).

What's more likely to happen? Flooding rains to blast rivers into oceans or a monster hurricane to blow and flood me away?

Louisiana and Florida are in a very very bad position for the future with hurricanes. I've got some serious thinking to do. I love where I live, it's part of the deal with living here, but I'm not convinced I need to risk having what I have to live so close to the coast.

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: schillid ()
Date: September 8, 2019 23:36

Quote
GasLightStreet
Spaghetti models are not forecasts. There were a bunch of models that brought Dorian to the Gulf Coast before Dorian was much of anything.

The cone in a forecast is a possibility of where it could go at the moment, which never included Alabama.

Whoever said that that guy understands about spaghetti models or probability cones ... Let alone how to read a map.

.

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: GasLightStreet ()
Date: September 8, 2019 23:59

Quote
schillid
Quote
GasLightStreet
Spaghetti models are not forecasts. There were a bunch of models that brought Dorian to the Gulf Coast before Dorian was much of anything.

The cone in a forecast is a possibility of where it could go at the moment, which never included Alabama.

Whoever said that that guy understands about spaghetti models or probability cones ... Let alone how to read a map.

I don't know, I don't know.

Uh... ha ha!

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 9, 2019 01:03



Drumcondra -- 6.28am -- 9 September 2019

ROCKMAN

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 17, 2019 07:30



Drumcondra 6.23am -- 17 September 2019

ROCKMAN

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: SomeTorontoGirl ()
Date: September 24, 2019 00:23

Unseasonably warm for the first day of fall.




Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 24, 2019 00:24

….. hey annie ….. looks like its a nice day ahead …..

ROCKMAN

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 24, 2019 00:35



Sun coming up behind old Alcoa plant
where Wayne once worked looks is a city on fire …. cool reflections on the water though …


Drumcondra -- 6.15am -- 24 September 2019

ROCKMAN

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: SomeTorontoGirl ()
Date: September 24, 2019 01:44

Nice try Rockeeeee...I’m still ticked that you low-down types are sucking all our heat away. Happy Spring, you rat bastard! grinning smiley


Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 24, 2019 06:46

But But Annie that's not quite right because
two of my brothers were used in medical
discoveries linked to cardiovascular medicine,
neural regeneration, wound healing, diabetes,
transplantation, behavioural studies and space motion sickness research.........


ROCKMAN

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Green Lady ()
Date: September 24, 2019 18:55

Been pouring with rain on and off all day here. My garden will be grateful, but I'm not.

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Elmo Lewis ()
Date: September 24, 2019 21:57

Waiting for fall here in Georgia. Still feeling like July .......hot smiley

Re: OT: Weather around the world
Posted by: Rockman ()
Date: September 25, 2019 05:00



Ox Blood Skies …..

Drumcondra 6.02am ---- 25 September 2019

ROCKMAN

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